Done Since 2020-03-08

[mdlbear]

You've probably seen COVID-19: Episode 3 already. If not, go back and read it and the preceeding two episodes. We've started "social distancing" ourselves (easier for introverts, of course); leaving the house only for medical appointments and urgent shopping (which there isn't much of -- we've been stocking up). You should, too. The important thing is to FlattenTheCurve. Island County has six confirmed cases as of yesterday; that's up from three the day before.

We've canceled this year's Rainbow Con, or rather moved it to next year. We're working with this year's guests to pick a date that works for all of them. Consonance has been postponed to sometime later this year; Norwescon has been canceled. The island's UU congregation held its weekly service via Zoom. Zoom also looks like a possible way of keeping in touch with your family and friends, though there are probably better apps for home use.

I have been spending way too much time tracking the pandemic; I'm going to try to cut back on that. Presumably in favor of the other certainty: taxes, although my track record on that is pretty poor.

Take care of yourself. The immediate future is looking very bleak. For longer-range bleakness and some compensatory optimism, read Our Future on Earth (more info under Tuesday's notes) and The Future We Choose: Surviving the Climate Crisis (more in this post.)

Notes & links:

0308Su DST transition   * litter boxen
  & awake 3:40;
  * Up 7am; S=6:38; exercises, shower
  @ Coronavirus COVID-19 updates: dashboard and report
  @ Official: White House didn't want to tell seniors not to fly
  * import CPAP data
  @ Critical preparedness, readiness and response actions for COVID-19
  @ Gates-funded program will soon offer home-testing kits for new
    coronavirus | The Seattle Times
  @ Q&A: When to stay home, when to see a doctor, when to get a coronavirus test 
  @ More questions you should ask before canceling a trip 
  : according to Chewy, my cracked pine litter is discontinued. -> ordered from $A
    kind of a panic buy; there were only two of the large ones left.  But that should see
    me through.  May want to switch to one of the others.
  * water orchids
  * ballot in the mail
  @ Exponential growth and epidemics - YouTube 3 Blue 1 Brown; good explanation
  $ HX $250 from S for rent
  @ Thread by @LizSpecht: I think most people aren’t aware of the risk of systemic
    healthcare failure due to #COVID19 because they simply haven’t run the numbers
    yet.… (@solarbird Today's News (2020/3/6): The Collapse of the CDC)
  @ (20) Trevor Bedford on
    Twitter: "(This analysis and tweet thread in collaboration with @famulare_mike) The
    existence of a community transmission cluster of #COVID19 in Snohomish and King
    Counties is now supported by 8 confirmed and sequenced cases
    (https://t.co/2efDbQrW1v). 1/7" / Twitter
  @ Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Public Health recommendations to protect our
    community - King County 

0309Mo
  * up 5:15; S=6:33;
  @ How to Self-Quarantine - The New York Times
  # posted mdlbear | COVID-19: Episode 2: Resources, news, and notes
  : V not coming -- ears
  * schedule vet appointment for D's shots -> 4pm tomorrow
  : took a while to get going because I had to scrape the windows.
  * 8:30am PT
  @ Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Resource Center | CIDRAP
    CIDRAP launches Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Resource Center | UMN
    " The goal is to make the CIDRAP COVID-19 Resource Center a comprehensive,
      authoritative, one-stop resource on COVID-19, complete with relevant information for
      public health professionals; members of the media; and international, national, and
      local policymakers or elected officials, "
  @ Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S. | CDC
    " This page will be updated regularly at noon Mondays through Fridays. Numbers close
      out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting. "
    " Now that states are testing and reporting their own results, CDC’s numbers are not
      representative of all testing being done nationwide. "
  @ Why We Are Ill-Prepared For an Epidemic Like Coronavirus | Time
  / I'm helping C make cookies.  She started crying when I said I had to sit down after
    *finally* tracking down the shortening.  Won't tell me why.
  % distressed.  my second time having to sit down.  We don't have walnuts.
  % third time; S took over while I was on the way out of the kitchen.
    -> the cookies came out wonderfull, so I'm going to stop complaining.
  * 5pm singing -> Daddy's World, Ship of Stone.  something's different, and better.
  ~ 6pm Town Hall & Briefing on the Coronavirus: https://jayapal.house.gov/live/
    U.S. Representative Pramila Jayapal Washington's 7th District (email from L)
  % 9:43: sleepy, slightly flaky.
  o cancel flight, hotel, shuttle

0310Tu
  * up 5:50ish; S=6:44;
  * laundry, mine and C's.  spotted a cockroach in the washer.  :(
  @ Coronavirus: Ten reasons why you ought not to panic
  @ Why the World Health Organization won’t call the coronavirus a pandemic - Vox
  @ Thread by
    \@jasonvanschoor: From a well respected friend and intensivist/A&E consultant who is
    currently in northern Italy: 1/ ‘I feel the pressure to give you a qu… grim
  @ Our Future on Earth | FutureEarth
    Our Future On Earth 2020 Report Launched | FutureEarth
    " Our most urgent task today is to persuade nations of the need to return to
      multilateralism ... the challenge of finding sustainable development paths ought to
      provide the impetus – indeed the imperative – for a renewed search for multilateral
      solutions and a restructured international economic system of co-operation.
    " ... good luck with that
    Anthropocene Magazine (Anthropocene Magazine | FutureEarth)
  @ Cleaning through the coronavirus | MM excellent set of links
  @ Coronavirus: nine reasons to be reassured | World news | The Guardian
  @ Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) fatality rate: WHO and media vs logic and mathematics
    – AVatorL's Blog - why deaths/cases is meaningless because of lag
  % I have been spending altogether too much time refreshing sites.
  * 3:15 or earlier: start packing up Desti for travel.
  * 4pm Desti SWAC - vaccination.  Claws clipped.
  @ The Lightness of Letting Things Go - Island Senior Resources
  @ Service/Program Changes and Cancellations - Island Senior Resources
  * singing:  Daddy's World, Travelers, Riverheart.  Something definitely clicked
    yesterday -- my voice is much stronger.  And somehow that makes it easier to hit the
    high A's in Daddy's World and Ship of Stone, so...  Whatever it is, I'll keep it.
  @ Seattle’s Patient Zero Spread Coronavirus Despite Ebola-Style Lockdown 

0311We
  * up 5:45; S=5:47; exercises
  @ Butter Substitution Baking Tips (ysabetwordsmith)
  @ Statement on the second meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005)
    Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)
    " The Committee agreed that the outbreak now meets the criteria for a Public Health
      Emergency of International Concern " presumably PHEIC = pandemic
    World Health Organization (WHO) on Twitter: "BREAKING" We have therefore made
    the assessment that #COVID19 can be characterized as a pandemic"-@DrTedros
    #coronavirus https://t.co/JqdsM2051A" / Twitter 
    (via wikipedia: On 11 March, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a pandemic)
  * 11:30ish leave for Accent.  Can get away with noon.
  * 2pm Accent Dental
    -> insurance changed, and I can't find the info.  AARP won't accept my email addr
    -> neither will delta dental -> fortunately Brenda got it from them
  @ Consonance 2020 Postponed
  @ Trump suspends travel between US and Europe for 30 days
  @ Work in the Time of Corona – Alice Goldfuss good advice if you're new to remote
  * cancel flight -> Travel Funds: Confirmation # TL7YTW Expiration: 02/09/21
    Note: Your Travel Funds will be associated with your confirmation # above, you will
    need to keep track of it to access these funds in the future.
  * cancel Consonance hotel reservation
    Hotel reservation number 26517126 has been cancelled; cancellation number is 13482873.
  * put KCl back on C's med list
  * singing:  Toolmakers, Ship of Stone, The River
  / C vomiting.  What fun!  empty glass 2x.  At least she asked for glass at bedtime

0312Th
  * up 4:15ish; S=5:55; awakened by C for -> / three major cleanups
  * laundry - it'll take two loads for all the bedding
  @ FlattenTheCurve | COVID19 Update & Guidance to Limit Spread
  @ Coronavirus prevention: 10 awesome songs to sing while you wash your hands
  @ COVID-19 – CMO Update and Overview – 3rd Edition | PartnerRe
  % current earworm: "The Last Watch on the Midland"
  * 8:30am PT
  * SL: paper towels, TP, slab bacon
  / yet another cleanup when I got home
  * take morning drugs when return home
  * change bed 
  * laundry (two loads so far; one more to go)
  * -cancel-_unschedule_ Consonance shuttle reservation conf#20-0213-27E 360-679-4003
    apparently you can't cancel online.  Unscheduling means no $10 cancellation fee; can
    use anytime in the next year.
  * call Mom

0313Fr my birthday
  & awake 4:30ish; S=2:23; don't feel especially sleepy.
  * up 7:30ish; S=3:52; little if any of that was sleep.  exercises
  @ Notes from UCSF Expert panel - March 10 
  @ Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now - Tomas Pueyo - Medium (via nextdoor comment)
  @ stayinghomeclub
    A list of all the companies WFH or events changed because of covid-19
  * had some of the Blue Label for my before-dinner drink.  Because birthday.
  # posted mdlbear | COVID-19: Episode 3: the view from Whidbey Island
    # formatting this as a meta item makes it easy to find the last links I posted.
  @ Inslee announces statewide school closures, expansion of limits on large gatherings |
    Governor Jay Inslee
  @ Kait's Adventures Italy
  @ Boosting Connection And Crushing Loneliness - PeopleStorming - Medium 

0314Sa
  & awake 1:30ish; major cleanup
  * Up 6:30ish; S=6:17; exercises;
  / C asleep in her chair
  @ Song: Flatten the Curve [The Mad Filkentist]
  @ Why Using People-First Language to Describe Disabled People Doesn’t Work (ysabetwordsmith)
  @ Best Non-Dairy Milks, Ranked | Real Simple (ysabetwordsmith)
      Oatly Full Fat Oatmeal, Trader Joe's Cocoa Almond Cashew Beverage,
      Mooala Vanilla Bean Almondmilk, Silk Original Soy Creamer,
      Elmhurst 1925 Milked Walnuts,
      Blue Diamond Almond Breeze Almondmilk Unsweetened Original
  @ siderea | How I Tell When (Pand/Prep: Out of Stage #3) [coronavirus2020, Patreon]
  @ A Week in Seattle, the Epicenter of America’s Coronavirus Crisis | The New Yorker 
  @ Considerations for quarantine of individuals in the context of containment for
    coronavirus disease (COVID-19)
  @ Mental Health and Psychosocial Considerations During COVID-19 Outbreak
    " 3. Minimize watching, reading or listening to news that causes you to feel anxious
      or distressed; seek information only from trusted sources and mainly to take
      practical steps to prepare your plans and protect yourself and loved ones. Seek
      information updates at specific times during the day, once or twice. The sudden and
      near-constant stream of news reports about an outbreak can cause anyone to feel
      worried. Get the facts; not the rumors and misinformation. Gather information at
      regular intervals, from WHO website and local health authorities platforms, in order
      to help you distinguish facts from rumors. Facts can help to minimize fears. "
  @ Social Distancing: This is Not a Snow Day 
  $ pay L' out of PP balance
  @ potofsoup | COVID-19 thoughts (minoanmiss)
    Nice example of figuring out how many people/day their household is exposed to.
  @ Japan confirms first case of person re-infected with coronavirus | TheHill Eeek
  @ EvergreenHealth: Lessons for Hospitals - Webinar for WSHA Members
  @ 6 tips for getting remote work right | Range
  @ Why outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially, and how to “flatten the curve”
    - Washington Post using simulation to compare quarantine and social distancing
  @ The story behind the coronavirus 'flatten the curve' chart
  @ UK coronavirus patient on living with 'grim' illness that left her feeling like she'd
    'run a marathon' - ITV News
  @ COVID-19: No Good Options - Michael Donnelly - Medium analysis with real math
    still doesn't really take incubation time into account, but it may not matter

Comments

[spiffyvoxel]

Here in the UK, the biggest problem for us right now is getting shopping. There has been lots of panic-buying, particularly toilet paper, kitchen rolls and wipes. Now, the major supermarkets have no available slots for home delivery or even collection for next three weeks. At least we have other supermarkets and local shops to fall back on, but it does mean we may have to do without some extras for a while.

My investments took a hit, but I've now pull most of my money out to hold as cash. I'm looking at bonds and gilts as one way to rebuild the losses in the short term. The situation isn't being helped by the UK government's late and lackluster planning to deal with Covid-19.

Keep Calm & Carry On...

[patoadam]

I'm sorry, but not surprised, to hear about RainbowCon. I see that FilKONtario has also been canceled. Looking forward to seeing you amazing people and your amazing guests whenever you are able to reschedule and hold RainbowCon.